Pandemic: Covid-19

Pandemics do not die—they fade away - Edward Carr

Pandemic: Covid-19

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The Pandemic Is Over. What Does That Even Mean?

In early 2020, I widely predicted that the then-new COVID-19 pandemic would be a 36-month battle. I added at that time that choices made by governments in the first weeks of the pandemic would decide whether the 36-month point marked cessation of all human deaths to the new disease, or merely the virus’s retreat from explosive spread to a new, permanent threat to humanity, akin to HIV.

I was wrong. It wasn’t 36 months from the declaration of a pandemic in March 2020—it’s 38 months. I apologize for the two-month miscalculation.

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Last Updated : Thursday, May 11, 2023